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These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more

Trades-Own-Strategy Certification

This system has earned Trades-Own-Strategy (TOS) Certification. This means that the manager of this system trades his own strategy in a real-life, funded brokerage account.

Trades-Own-Strategy (TOS) Certification Details
Certification process started 04/15/2016
Most recent certification approved 4/15/16 12:59 ET
Trades at broker Interactive Brokers (Stocks, Options, Futures)
Scaling percentage used 100%
# trading signals issued by system since certification 5,261
# trading signals executed in manager's Interactive Brokers (Stocks, Options, Futures) account 3,301
Percent signals followed since 04/15/2016 62.7%
This information was last updated 8/22/19 22:28 ET

Warning: System trading results are still hypothetical.

Even though the system developer is currently trading his own system in a real-life brokerage account, the trading results presented on this Web site must still be regarded as purely hypothetical results. This is because (among other reasons) the system developer may not have traded all signals, particularly those that occurred before 04/15/2016, and the system developer's results may not match the system results presented here. In addition, not all subscribers have received the same trades or prices as the system manager has. For these reasons, and others, it is extremely important you remember the following:

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

You may be interested to learn more technical details about how Collective2 calculates the hypothetical results you see on this web site.

VolatilityTrader
(100722273)

Created by: VixTrader VixTrader
Started: 03/2016
Options
Last trade: 3 days ago
Trading style: Options Premium Collecting Volatility Long / Short

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $299.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Options
Premium Collecting
Category: Equity

Premium Collecting

A trading strategy that, while typically profitable on a trade-by-trade basis, has some possibility of infrequent, but extremely large, losses.
Volatility Long / Short
Category: Equity

Volatility Long / Short

This strategy constructs portfolios that make bets about whether market volatility will increase or decrease.
100.3%
Annual Return (Compounded)

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return is calculated

= ((Ending_equity / Starting_equity) ^ (1 / age_in_years)) - 1

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(56.5%)
Max Drawdown
2080
Num Trades
93.6%
Win Trades
1.8 : 1
Profit Factor
66.7%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2016              (4.4%)+19.4%+40.3%+55.2%+45.2%+11.9%+15.2%(7.7%)+24.6%+4.4%+458.5%
2017(28.2%)(28%)+23.0%+11.4%+7.1%+10.7%(11.4%)+27.8%+11.3%+5.2%(3.1%)+10.4%+19.2%
2018+6.2%+27.3%(2.2%)+7.2%+8.2%(6.4%)+19.9%(5.8%)+4.8%(5.2%)+8.7%(36.6%)+10.8%
2019+20.9%+12.1%+8.3%(3.2%)(4.1%)+8.0%+6.9%(2%)                        +54.3%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

System developer has asked us to delay this information by 72 hours.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 3,249 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

Download CSV
Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
8/13/19 10:09 NFLX1916T290 NFLX Aug16'19 290 put SHORT 10 0.43 8/17 9:35 0.00 0.43%
Trade id #124906631
Max drawdown($4,570)
Time8/13/19 10:09
Quant open10
Worst price5.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.43%
$423
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
8/9/19 14:41 MAR1916H136 MAR Aug16'19 136 call SHORT 10 0.40 8/17 9:35 0.00 0.02%
Trade id #124861213
Max drawdown($180)
Time8/13/19 0:00
Quant open-10
Worst price0.22
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%
$394
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
8/8/19 9:30 CME1916T192.5 CME Aug16'19 192.5 put SHORT 1 0.25 8/17 9:35 0.00 0%
Trade id #124833850
Max drawdown($20)
Time8/14/19 0:00
Quant open-1
Worst price0.05
Drawdown as % of equity-0.00%
$24
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.00
8/12/19 15:07 BABA1916T141 BABA Aug16'19 141 put SHORT 10 0.40 8/17 9:35 0.00 0.04%
Trade id #124889448
Max drawdown($390)
Time8/16/19 0:00
Quant open-10
Worst price0.01
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
$393
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
8/12/19 15:05 TSLA1916T212.5 TSLA Aug16'19 212.5 put SHORT 10 0.40 8/17 9:35 0.00 0.31%
Trade id #124889371
Max drawdown($3,238)
Time8/12/19 15:05
Quant open10
Worst price3.64
Drawdown as % of equity-0.31%
$395
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
8/9/19 15:55 LMT1916T357.5 LMT Aug16'19 357.5 put SHORT 10 0.29 8/17 9:35 0.00 0.06%
Trade id #124862417
Max drawdown($660)
Time8/9/19 15:55
Quant open10
Worst price0.95
Drawdown as % of equity-0.06%
$283
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
7/16/19 9:40 DPZ1916T220 DPZ Aug16'19 220 put SHORT 10 0.58 8/17 9:35 0.00 0.1%
Trade id #124474913
Max drawdown($1,071)
Time7/16/19 9:40
Quant open10
Worst price1.65
Drawdown as % of equity-0.10%
$572
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
8/9/19 15:36 A1916H75 A Aug16'19 75 call SHORT 10 0.35 8/17 9:35 0.00 0.03%
Trade id #124862051
Max drawdown($340)
Time8/16/19 0:00
Quant open-10
Worst price0.01
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
$343
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
8/9/19 13:46 NFLX1916T270 NFLX Aug16'19 270 put SHORT 10 0.48 8/17 9:35 0.00 0.04%
Trade id #124860441
Max drawdown($430)
Time8/16/19 0:00
Quant open-10
Worst price0.05
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
$474
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
8/12/19 15:04 ALGN1916T165 ALGN Aug16'19 165 put SHORT 10 0.40 8/17 9:35 0.00 0.03%
Trade id #124889362
Max drawdown($384)
Time8/16/19 0:00
Quant open-10
Worst price0.02
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
$397
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
8/9/19 15:08 VXX1916H30 VXX Aug16'19 30 call SHORT 10 0.41 8/17 9:35 0.00 0.11%
Trade id #124861631
Max drawdown($1,114)
Time8/9/19 15:08
Quant open10
Worst price1.52
Drawdown as % of equity-0.11%
$398
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
8/9/19 13:40 TTD1916T240 TTD Aug16'19 240 put SHORT 10 0.44 8/17 9:35 0.00 0.3%
Trade id #124860404
Max drawdown($3,062)
Time8/9/19 13:40
Quant open10
Worst price3.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.30%
$431
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
6/4/19 12:20 PPL PPL SHORT 2,000 30.25 8/15 14:21 29.20 0.3%
Trade id #123934884
Max drawdown($3,105)
Time6/4/19 12:20
Quant open2,000
Worst price31.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.30%
$2,093
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
8/2/19 14:06 SPLK1909T113 SPLK Aug9'19 113 put SHORT 10 0.40 8/10 9:35 0.00 0.03%
Trade id #124747127
Max drawdown($301)
Time8/2/19 14:06
Quant open10
Worst price0.70
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
$392
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
8/2/19 14:05 LMT1909T340 LMT Aug9'19 340 put SHORT 10 0.42 8/10 9:35 0.00 0.1%
Trade id #124747112
Max drawdown($1,131)
Time8/2/19 14:05
Quant open10
Worst price1.55
Drawdown as % of equity-0.10%
$412
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
8/1/19 13:35 TTD1909T200 TTD Aug9'19 200 put SHORT 10 0.51 8/10 9:35 0.00 0.28%
Trade id #124723222
Max drawdown($3,139)
Time8/1/19 13:35
Quant open10
Worst price3.65
Drawdown as % of equity-0.28%
$504
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
8/2/19 15:46 VXX1909H29.5 VXX Aug9'19 29.5 call SHORT 10 0.39 8/10 9:35 0.00 0.12%
Trade id #124748932
Max drawdown($1,356)
Time8/2/19 15:46
Quant open10
Worst price1.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.12%
$387
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
7/31/19 11:21 WYNN1909T114 WYNN Aug9'19 114 put SHORT 10 0.41 8/10 9:35 0.00 0.69%
Trade id #124696805
Max drawdown($7,890)
Time7/31/19 11:21
Quant open10
Worst price8.30
Drawdown as % of equity-0.69%
$403
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
8/1/19 13:50 SHOP1909H385 SHOP Aug9'19 385 call SHORT 10 0.49 8/10 9:35 0.00 0.04%
Trade id #124724040
Max drawdown($440)
Time8/7/19 0:00
Quant open-10
Worst price0.05
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
$483
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
8/1/19 13:43 NFLX1909T290 NFLX Aug9'19 290 put SHORT 10 0.49 8/10 9:35 0.00 0.25%
Trade id #124723661
Max drawdown($2,887)
Time8/1/19 13:43
Quant open10
Worst price3.38
Drawdown as % of equity-0.25%
$485
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
8/1/19 13:39 VMW1909T167.5 VMW Aug9'19 167.5 put SHORT 10 0.49 8/10 9:35 7.84 1.01%
Trade id #124723453
Max drawdown($11,522)
Time8/1/19 13:39
Quant open10
Worst price12.01
Drawdown as % of equity-1.01%
($7,365)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $11.90
2/16/19 9:35 VMW VMWARE SHORT 1,000 165.00 8/10 9:35 160.31 4.49%
Trade id #122555723
Max drawdown($41,799)
Time2/16/19 9:35
Quant open1,000
Worst price206.80
Drawdown as % of equity-4.49%
$4,678
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
8/5/19 10:30 BABA1909T143 BABA Aug9'19 143 put SHORT 10 0.40 8/10 9:35 0.00 0.04%
Trade id #124768491
Max drawdown($460)
Time8/5/19 10:30
Quant open10
Worst price0.86
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
$393
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
7/30/19 14:17 VIXW1907T13 VIXW Aug7'19 13 put SHORT 20 0.38 8/8 8:05 0.00 0.14%
Trade id #124683042
Max drawdown($1,641)
Time7/30/19 14:17
Quant open20
Worst price1.20
Drawdown as % of equity-0.14%
$744
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $14.00
8/1/19 15:03 FXY CURRENCYSHARES JAPANESE YEN TR SHORT 1,000 88.71 8/5 5:08 90.00 0.11%
Trade id #124726392
Max drawdown($1,292)
Time8/5/19 5:08
Quant open1,000
Worst price90.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.11%
($1,297)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
7/29/19 14:30 RH1902H138 RH Aug2'19 138 call SHORT 10 0.43 8/3 9:35 0.00 0.43%
Trade id #124663594
Max drawdown($4,867)
Time7/29/19 14:30
Quant open10
Worst price5.30
Drawdown as % of equity-0.43%
$426
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
7/24/19 14:02 CME1902T187.5 CME Aug2'19 187.5 put SHORT 10 0.38 8/3 9:35 0.00 0.01%
Trade id #124599040
Max drawdown($124)
Time7/24/19 14:02
Quant open10
Worst price0.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
$369
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
8/1/19 13:46 SQ1902H90 SQ Aug2'19 90 call SHORT 10 0.29 8/3 9:35 0.00 0.02%
Trade id #124723886
Max drawdown($207)
Time8/1/19 13:46
Quant open10
Worst price0.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%
$286
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
7/25/19 15:54 TSLA1902T200 TSLA Aug2'19 200 put SHORT 10 0.40 8/3 9:35 0.00 0.03%
Trade id #124622148
Max drawdown($350)
Time7/25/19 15:54
Quant open10
Worst price0.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
$393
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
7/25/19 15:21 BA1902T325 BA Aug2'19 325 put SHORT 10 0.44 8/3 9:35 0.00 0.04%
Trade id #124621508
Max drawdown($470)
Time7/25/19 15:21
Quant open10
Worst price0.91
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
$433
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    3/7/2016
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $35,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    1263.35
  • Age
    42 months ago
  • What it trades
    Options
  • # Trades
    2080
  • # Profitable
    1946
  • % Profitable
    93.60%
  • Avg trade duration
    11.4 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    56.53%
  • drawdown period
    Nov 07, 2018 - Dec 24, 2018
  • Annual Return (Compounded)
    100.3%
  • Avg win
    $1,286
  • Avg loss
    $11,039
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $3,082,080
  • Margin Used
    $3,692,380
  • Buying Power
    ($972,335)
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.75:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    1.32
  • Sortino Ratio
    2.01
  • Calmar Ratio
    2.048
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.41500
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    100.3%
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    103.9%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    61.50%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    40.00%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    20.00%
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    7.00%
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    0.50%
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    958
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    978
  • C2 Score
    813
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    Yes
  • TOS percent
    100%
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $11,274
  • Avg Win
    $1,301
  • # Winners
    1946
  • # Losers
    134
  • % Winners
    93.6%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    16455.70
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    274.26
  • Avg Trade Length
    11.4 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    2
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    3.70
  • Daily leverage (max)
    6.97
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.18
  • Beta
    1.69
  • Treynor Index
    0.13
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    9.152
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    1.867
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.961
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.114
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.88606
  • SD
    0.55771
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.58874
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.55796
  • df
    39.00000
  • t
    2.90063
  • p
    0.00305
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.45000
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.70915
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.43014
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.68578
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    4.33900
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    5.70480
  • Upside part of mean
    1.16496
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.27891
  • Upside SD
    0.57183
  • Downside SD
    0.20421
  • N nonnegative terms
    30.00000
  • N negative terms
    10.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    40.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.12879
  • Mean of criterion
    0.88606
  • SD of predictor
    0.09268
  • SD of criterion
    0.55771
  • Covariance
    0.01197
  • r
    0.23151
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.39304
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.70664
  • Mean Square Error
    0.30212
  • DF error
    38.00000
  • t(b)
    1.46695
  • p(b)
    0.07531
  • t(a)
    2.17463
  • p(a)
    0.01798
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.52936
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    3.31545
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.04882
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.36447
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.63606
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.70664
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.73183
  • SD
    0.49602
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.47539
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.44680
  • df
    39.00000
  • t
    2.69368
  • p
    0.00518
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.34474
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.58880
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.32630
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.56731
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.25115
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    4.59563
  • Upside part of mean
    1.03447
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.30264
  • Upside SD
    0.48358
  • Downside SD
    0.22510
  • N nonnegative terms
    30.00000
  • N negative terms
    10.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    40.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.12395
  • Mean of criterion
    0.73183
  • SD of predictor
    0.09262
  • SD of criterion
    0.49602
  • Covariance
    0.01172
  • r
    0.25501
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.36566
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.56256
  • Mean Square Error
    0.23609
  • DF error
    38.00000
  • t(b)
    1.62574
  • p(b)
    0.05614
  • t(a)
    1.96850
  • p(a)
    0.02817
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.33488
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    3.06619
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.01597
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.14108
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.53588
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.56256
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.16016
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.20784
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.03131
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.07612
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    40.00000
  • Minimum
    0.77167
  • Quartile 1
    0.99878
  • Median
    1.05175
  • Quartile 3
    1.12045
  • Maximum
    1.59360
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.90703
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.02341
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.08659
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.27832
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.12167
  • Number outliers low
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.02500
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.77167
  • Number of outliers high
    4.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.10000
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.43950
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.46158
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.03342
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.04171
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.24265
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.14064
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.19625
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    4.00000
  • Minimum
    0.06203
  • Quartile 1
    0.07629
  • Median
    0.18513
  • Quartile 3
    0.31049
  • Maximum
    0.37428
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.06203
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.08105
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.28922
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.37428
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.23420
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    3.13996
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    1.07888
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    2.88256
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    2.88256
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    5.19087
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.84618
  • SD
    0.49489
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.70985
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.70841
  • df
    891.00000
  • t
    3.15494
  • p
    0.00083
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.64421
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.77458
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.64323
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.77360
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.61581
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.62609
  • Upside part of mean
    3.11392
  • Downside part of mean
    -2.26773
  • Upside SD
    0.37779
  • Downside SD
    0.32349
  • N nonnegative terms
    515.00000
  • N negative terms
    377.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    892.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.11932
  • Mean of criterion
    0.84618
  • SD of predictor
    0.12719
  • SD of criterion
    0.49489
  • Covariance
    0.02499
  • r
    0.39698
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.54464
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.66200
  • Mean Square Error
    0.20655
  • DF error
    890.00000
  • t(b)
    12.90330
  • p(b)
    0.00000
  • t(a)
    2.68269
  • p(a)
    0.00372
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.30970
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.77958
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.17765
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.14610
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.54782
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.66188
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.72302
  • SD
    0.49430
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.46272
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.46149
  • df
    891.00000
  • t
    2.69894
  • p
    0.00354
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.39793
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.52672
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.39710
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.52588
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.15353
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.07172
  • Upside part of mean
    3.04573
  • Downside part of mean
    -2.32270
  • Upside SD
    0.36515
  • Downside SD
    0.33574
  • N nonnegative terms
    515.00000
  • N negative terms
    377.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    892.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.11119
  • Mean of criterion
    0.72302
  • SD of predictor
    0.12745
  • SD of criterion
    0.49430
  • Covariance
    0.02511
  • r
    0.39858
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.54579
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.55114
  • Mean Square Error
    0.20575
  • DF error
    890.00000
  • t(b)
    12.96500
  • p(b)
    0.00000
  • t(a)
    2.23870
  • p(a)
    0.01271
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.31179
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.77979
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.06796
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.03432
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.46774
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.55114
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.04636
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.05839
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01763
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.03729
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    892.00000
  • Minimum
    0.85255
  • Quartile 1
    0.99028
  • Median
    1.00284
  • Quartile 3
    1.01553
  • Maximum
    1.14116
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.96796
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99792
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00872
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.03832
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.02525
  • Number outliers low
    36.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.04036
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.92325
  • Number of outliers high
    44.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.04933
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.08091
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.17289
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.02764
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.04304
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.14294
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.02894
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.04450
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    54.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00123
  • Quartile 1
    0.00867
  • Median
    0.03417
  • Quartile 3
    0.09594
  • Maximum
    0.51779
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00476
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.01692
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.05109
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.20044
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.08727
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    4.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.07407
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.37797
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.41704
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.22926
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.42382
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.72175
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.18723
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.52022
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    3.14970
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    1.06065
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    2.04844
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    5.29159
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    18.16400
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.45253
  • SD
    0.30446
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.48631
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.47772
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    1.05098
  • p
    0.45411
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.29416
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.26122
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.29990
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.25534
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.27539
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    10.67680
  • Upside part of mean
    2.12339
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.67086
  • Upside SD
    0.23069
  • Downside SD
    0.19888
  • N nonnegative terms
    70.00000
  • N negative terms
    61.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.11200
  • Mean of criterion
    0.45253
  • SD of predictor
    0.13081
  • SD of criterion
    0.30446
  • Covariance
    -0.01183
  • r
    -0.29715
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.69165
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.52999
  • Mean Square Error
    0.08517
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    -3.53465
  • p(b)
    0.68635
  • t(a)
    1.28234
  • p(a)
    0.42873
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -1.07881
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.30450
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.28773
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.34772
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.65427
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.52999
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.40632
  • SD
    0.30389
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.33706
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.32934
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    0.94545
  • p
    0.45868
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.44204
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.11109
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.44718
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.10585
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.01089
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    10.38010
  • Upside part of mean
    2.09738
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.69106
  • Upside SD
    0.22681
  • Downside SD
    0.20206
  • N nonnegative terms
    70.00000
  • N negative terms
    61.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.10345
  • Mean of criterion
    0.40632
  • SD of predictor
    0.13120
  • SD of criterion
    0.30389
  • Covariance
    -0.01185
  • r
    -0.29721
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.68841
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.47753
  • Mean Square Error
    0.08484
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    -3.53543
  • p(b)
    0.68639
  • t(a)
    1.15788
  • p(a)
    0.43555
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -1.07366
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.30316
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.33845
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.29352
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.59023
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.47753
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02890
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.03647
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01414
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02704
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    131.00000
  • Minimum
    0.95055
  • Quartile 1
    0.99022
  • Median
    1.00144
  • Quartile 3
    1.01332
  • Maximum
    1.06543
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.97824
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99662
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00745
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.02479
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.02310
  • Number outliers low
    2.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.01527
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.95159
  • Number of outliers high
    2.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.01527
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.05717
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.23294
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.02147
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.02633
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.16363
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.02200
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.02761
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    11.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00089
  • Quartile 1
    0.00920
  • Median
    0.02323
  • Quartile 3
    0.03540
  • Maximum
    0.15829
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00215
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.01819
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.03196
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.10534
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.02620
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    2.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.18182
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.14011
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -52.16960
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.08525
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -2.24441
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.22136
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.22492
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.45053
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.50128
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    3.16674
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    4.75878
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    13.74530

Strategy Description

Please don't get scaling less than 10% to ensure you get atleast 1 option contact. I tend to buy/sell 10 contracts at a time. so anything less than 10% scaling will result in no trade for you. I pref Interactive Broker as your trading platform. Account must be able to short UVXY/TVIX, and also level 3 option writing(writing naked calls/puts). This strategy will try to limit max draw down to less than 25% and shoot for avg gain of 5% per month. (Goal of 5% per week of original starting balance of 100k) C2 shows a drawn down of 48%, But as you know, when you trade VIX or high IV stocks, it will give you a heart attacks!!!!

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2016-03-07
Suggested Minimum Capital
$35,000
# Trades
2080
# Profitable
1946
% Profitable
93.6%
Net Dividends
Correlation S&P500
0.415
Sharpe Ratio
1.32
Sortino Ratio
2.01
Beta
1.69
Alpha
0.18
Leverage
3.70 Average
6.97 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

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subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.