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These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more

Trades-Own-Strategy Certification

This system has earned Trades-Own-Strategy (TOS) Certification. This means that the manager of this system trades his own strategy in a real-life, funded brokerage account.

Trades-Own-Strategy (TOS) Certification Details
Certification process started 04/15/2016
Most recent certification approved 4/15/16 12:59 ET
Trades at broker Interactive Brokers (Stocks, Options, Futures)
Scaling percentage used 100%
# trading signals issued by system since certification 4,768
# trading signals executed in manager's Interactive Brokers (Stocks, Options, Futures) account 3,035
Percent signals followed since 04/15/2016 63.7%
This information was last updated 2/21/19 21:13 ET

Warning: System trading results are still hypothetical.

Even though the system developer is currently trading his own system in a real-life brokerage account, the trading results presented on this Web site must still be regarded as purely hypothetical results. This is because (among other reasons) the system developer may not have traded all signals, particularly those that occurred before 04/15/2016, and the system developer's results may not match the system results presented here. In addition, not all subscribers have received the same trades or prices as the system manager has. For these reasons, and others, it is extremely important you remember the following:

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

You may be interested to learn more technical details about how Collective2 calculates the hypothetical results you see on this web site.

VolatilityTrader
(100722273)

Created by: VixTrader VixTrader
Started: 03/2016
Options
Last trade: 5 days ago
Trading style: Options Premium Collecting Volatility Long / Short

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $299.00 per month.

Trading Category: Options
Premium Collecting
Category: Equity

Premium Collecting

A trading strategy that, while typically profitable on a trade-by-trade basis, has some possibility of infrequent, but extremely large, losses.
Volatility Long / Short
Category: Equity

Volatility Long / Short

This strategy constructs portfolios that make bets about whether market volatility will increase or decrease.
114.7%
Annual Return (Compounded)

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return is calculated

= ((Ending_equity / Starting_equity) ^ (1 / age_in_years)) - 1

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(56.5%)
Max Drawdown
1838
Num Trades
93.0%
Win Trades
1.7 : 1
Profit Factor
69.4%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2016              (4.4%)+19.4%+40.3%+55.2%+45.2%+11.9%+15.2%(7.7%)+24.6%+4.4%+458.5%
2017(28.2%)(28%)+23.0%+11.4%+7.1%+10.7%(11.4%)+27.8%+11.3%+5.2%(3.1%)+10.4%+19.2%
2018+6.2%+27.3%(2.2%)+7.2%+8.2%(6.4%)+19.9%(5.8%)+4.8%(5.2%)+8.7%(36.6%)+10.8%
2019+20.9%+8.5%                                                            +31.2%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

System developer has asked us to delay this information by 72 hours.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 2,983 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

Download CSV
Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
2/12/19 9:53 ADSK1915B160 ADSK Feb15'19 160 call SHORT 10 0.56 2/16 9:36 0.00 0.15%
Trade id #122475742
Max drawdown($1,396)
Time2/13/19 12:44
Quant open-10
Worst price1.96
Drawdown as % of equity-0.15%
$556
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
2/6/19 14:10 NFLX1915N312.5 NFLX Feb15'19 312.5 put SHORT 10 0.40 2/16 9:36 0.00 0.1%
Trade id #122397180
Max drawdown($880)
Time2/7/19 12:06
Quant open-10
Worst price1.28
Drawdown as % of equity-0.10%
$393
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
2/14/19 15:58 NVDA1915N136 NVDA Feb15'19 136 put SHORT 10 0.42 2/16 9:36 0.00 n/a $408
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
2/12/19 9:46 TTWO1915N83 TTWO Feb15'19 83 put SHORT 10 0.47 2/16 9:36 0.00 0%
Trade id #122475473
Max drawdown($31)
Time2/12/19 9:48
Quant open-10
Worst price0.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.00%
$461
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
2/6/19 15:04 DE1915N147 DE Feb15'19 147 put SHORT 10 0.42 2/16 9:36 0.00 0.04%
Trade id #122402024
Max drawdown($389)
Time2/7/19 12:55
Quant open-10
Worst price0.81
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
$413
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
2/12/19 9:53 VMW1915B165 VMW Feb15'19 165 call SHORT 10 0.35 2/16 9:35 0.00 0.49%
Trade id #122475727
Max drawdown($4,648)
Time2/14/19 10:17
Quant open-10
Worst price5.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.49%
$344
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
2/12/19 10:56 RH1915B144 RH Feb15'19 144 call SHORT 10 0.37 2/16 9:35 0.00 0.18%
Trade id #122477969
Max drawdown($1,628)
Time2/14/19 14:24
Quant open-10
Worst price2.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.18%
$364
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
2/12/19 9:51 EA1915N92.5 EA Feb15'19 92.5 put SHORT 10 0.38 2/16 9:35 0.00 0.01%
Trade id #122475671
Max drawdown($125)
Time2/12/19 10:45
Quant open-10
Worst price0.51
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
$378
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
2/6/19 15:01 BABA1915B180 BABA Feb15'19 180 call SHORT 10 0.47 2/16 9:35 0.00 0%
Trade id #122401983
Max drawdown($34)
Time2/6/19 15:46
Quant open-10
Worst price0.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.00%
$458
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
2/8/19 15:08 ANET1915B265 ANET Feb15'19 265 call SHORT 10 0.63 2/16 9:35 0.00 0.43%
Trade id #122436489
Max drawdown($4,115)
Time2/15/19 10:22
Quant open-10
Worst price4.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.43%
$628
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
2/12/19 9:49 SHOP1915B180 SHOP Feb15'19 180 call SHORT 10 0.46 2/16 9:35 0.00 0.23%
Trade id #122475574
Max drawdown($2,094)
Time2/13/19 9:35
Quant open-10
Worst price2.55
Drawdown as % of equity-0.23%
$448
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
2/8/19 10:37 NFLX1915N310 NFLX Feb15'19 310 put SHORT 10 0.54 2/16 9:35 0.00 0.02%
Trade id #122431190
Max drawdown($216)
Time2/8/19 11:49
Quant open-10
Worst price0.76
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%
$536
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
2/12/19 9:55 GRUB1915N76.5 GRUB Feb15'19 76.5 put SHORT 10 0.40 2/16 9:35 0.00 0.04%
Trade id #122475825
Max drawdown($350)
Time2/12/19 14:10
Quant open-10
Worst price0.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
$393
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
2/6/19 14:11 WYNN1915B138 WYNN Feb15'19 138 call SHORT 10 0.39 2/16 9:35 0.00 0.02%
Trade id #122397207
Max drawdown($195)
Time2/6/19 15:57
Quant open-10
Worst price0.59
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%
$388
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
1/3/19 15:44 CORN TEUCRIUM CORN SHORT 2,000 16.25 2/14 15:58 16.14 0.03%
Trade id #121772394
Max drawdown($251)
Time1/18/19 11:08
Quant open-2,000
Worst price16.38
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
$232
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
1/31/19 15:58 TGT1908B74.5 TGT Feb8'19 74.5 call SHORT 10 0.39 2/9 9:35 0.00 n/a $388
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
2/1/19 13:19 NFLX1908N315 NFLX Feb8'19 315 put SHORT 10 0.47 2/9 9:35 0.00 0.03%
Trade id #122321892
Max drawdown($270)
Time2/1/19 15:49
Quant open-10
Worst price0.74
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
$463
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
2/1/19 14:45 NVDA1908N133 NVDA Feb8'19 133 put SHORT 10 0.42 2/9 9:35 0.00 0.01%
Trade id #122324330
Max drawdown($50)
Time2/1/19 15:11
Quant open-10
Worst price0.47
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
$413
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
2/1/19 14:10 ANET1908B232.5 ANET Feb8'19 232.5 call SHORT 10 0.47 2/9 9:35 0.00 0.04%
Trade id #122323547
Max drawdown($384)
Time2/6/19 9:39
Quant open-10
Worst price0.85
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
$458
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
2/4/19 15:49 ALGN1908B255 ALGN Feb8'19 255 call SHORT 10 0.52 2/9 9:35 0.00 0.01%
Trade id #122351539
Max drawdown($81)
Time2/5/19 9:34
Quant open-10
Worst price0.60
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
$512
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
2/1/19 14:53 BIDU1908N160 BIDU Feb8'19 160 put SHORT 10 0.40 2/9 9:35 0.00 n/a $393
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
2/5/19 15:37 NVDA1908N142 NVDA Feb8'19 142 put SHORT 10 0.41 2/9 9:35 0.00 0.06%
Trade id #122378865
Max drawdown($540)
Time2/7/19 12:16
Quant open-10
Worst price0.95
Drawdown as % of equity-0.06%
$403
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
1/31/19 15:43 ACB AURORA CANNABIS INC LONG 2,000 7.08 2/7 15:59 7.75 0.02%
Trade id #122301024
Max drawdown($156)
Time1/31/19 16:01
Quant open2,000
Worst price7.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%
$1,335
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
1/31/19 15:46 NTNX NUTANIX INC. CLASS A COMMON STOCK LONG 1,000 50.94 2/5 15:29 52.96 0.15%
Trade id #122301135
Max drawdown($1,392)
Time1/31/19 19:08
Quant open1,000
Worst price49.55
Drawdown as % of equity-0.15%
$2,013
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
1/28/19 15:37 DE1901N147 DE Feb1'19 147 put SHORT 10 0.40 2/2 9:35 0.00 0%
Trade id #122226157
Max drawdown($19)
Time1/28/19 15:51
Quant open-10
Worst price0.42
Drawdown as % of equity-0.00%
$393
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
1/28/19 14:06 NVDA1901N122 NVDA Feb1'19 122 put SHORT 10 0.43 2/2 9:35 0.00 0.01%
Trade id #122223734
Max drawdown($121)
Time1/29/19 13:26
Quant open-10
Worst price0.55
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
$422
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
1/25/19 14:25 CAT1901B148 CAT Feb1'19 148 call SHORT 10 0.39 2/2 9:35 0.00 0.01%
Trade id #122190155
Max drawdown($127)
Time1/25/19 15:53
Quant open-10
Worst price0.52
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
$386
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
1/25/19 13:39 NFLX1901N310 NFLX Feb1'19 310 put SHORT 10 0.93 2/2 9:35 0.00 0.1%
Trade id #122188667
Max drawdown($952)
Time1/28/19 10:04
Quant open-10
Worst price1.88
Drawdown as % of equity-0.10%
$921
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
1/24/19 11:37 BABA1901B172.5 BABA Feb1'19 172.5 call SHORT 10 0.44 2/2 9:35 0.00 0.07%
Trade id #122159412
Max drawdown($607)
Time1/25/19 10:11
Quant open-10
Worst price1.05
Drawdown as % of equity-0.07%
$436
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
1/25/19 14:39 WYNN1901B136 WYNN Feb1'19 136 call SHORT 10 0.40 2/2 9:35 0.00 0%
Trade id #122190755
Max drawdown($30)
Time1/25/19 14:49
Quant open-10
Worst price0.43
Drawdown as % of equity-0.00%
$393
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    3/7/2016
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $35,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    1081.44
  • Age
    36 months ago
  • What it trades
    Stocks, Options
  • # Trades
    1838
  • # Profitable
    1709
  • % Profitable
    93.00%
  • Avg trade duration
    9.8 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    56.53%
  • drawdown period
    Nov 07, 2018 - Dec 24, 2018
  • Annual Return (Compounded)
    114.7%
  • Avg win
    $1,291
  • Avg loss
    $10,245
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $1,854,410
  • Margin Used
    $2,601,630
  • Buying Power
    ($981,150)
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.72:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    1.723
  • Sortino Ratio
    2.633
  • Calmar Ratio
    2.316
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.47800
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    114.7%
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    117.9%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    58.50%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    38.50%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    22.00%
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    10.00%
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    3.50%
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    864
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    975
  • C2 Score
    31.1
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    183548
  • TOS percent
    100%
  • Subscription Price
  • Billing Period (days)
    30
  • Trial Days
    0
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $10,388
  • Avg Win
    $1,297
  • # Winners
    1709
  • # Losers
    129
  • % Winners
    93.0%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    14150.50
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    235.84
  • Avg Trade Length
    9.8 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    0
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.92998
  • SD
    0.58940
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.57784
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.54273
  • df
    34.00000
  • t
    2.69467
  • p
    0.00543
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.36046
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.77431
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.33794
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.74752
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    4.22463
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    5.62770
  • Upside part of mean
    1.23884
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.30886
  • Upside SD
    0.60090
  • Downside SD
    0.22013
  • N nonnegative terms
    26.00000
  • N negative terms
    9.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    35.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.08975
  • Mean of criterion
    0.92998
  • SD of predictor
    0.09026
  • SD of criterion
    0.58940
  • Covariance
    0.01327
  • r
    0.24946
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.62895
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.78378
  • Mean Square Error
    0.33565
  • DF error
    33.00000
  • t(b)
    1.47982
  • p(b)
    0.07420
  • t(a)
    2.21830
  • p(a)
    0.01676
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.61059
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    3.86849
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.06494
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.50263
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.57091
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.78378
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.75726
  • SD
    0.52424
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.44450
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.41236
  • df
    34.00000
  • t
    2.46696
  • p
    0.00941
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.23723
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.63231
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.21664
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.60809
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.12276
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    4.50693
  • Upside part of mean
    1.09292
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.33566
  • Upside SD
    0.50592
  • Downside SD
    0.24250
  • N nonnegative terms
    26.00000
  • N negative terms
    9.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    35.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.08527
  • Mean of criterion
    0.75726
  • SD of predictor
    0.09029
  • SD of criterion
    0.52424
  • Covariance
    0.01280
  • r
    0.27052
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.57075
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.62331
  • Mean Square Error
    0.26243
  • DF error
    33.00000
  • t(b)
    1.61420
  • p(b)
    0.05800
  • t(a)
    2.00277
  • p(a)
    0.02674
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.40900
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    3.55050
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.00988
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.25651
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.48210
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.62331
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.16957
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.21926
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.03567
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.08537
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    35.00000
  • Minimum
    0.77167
  • Quartile 1
    1.00556
  • Median
    1.06067
  • Quartile 3
    1.13074
  • Maximum
    1.59360
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.90224
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.03138
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.09204
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.29501
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.12518
  • Number outliers low
    2.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.05714
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.79449
  • Number of outliers high
    4.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.11429
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.43950
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.56611
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.16921
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.21051
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    4.00000
  • Minimum
    0.06203
  • Quartile 1
    0.07629
  • Median
    0.18513
  • Quartile 3
    0.31049
  • Maximum
    0.37428
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.06203
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.08105
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.28922
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.37428
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.23420
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    3.04307
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    1.19277
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    3.18686
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    3.18686
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    5.43997
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.89593
  • SD
    0.51944
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.72479
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.72309
  • df
    764.00000
  • t
    2.94724
  • p
    0.00165
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.57398
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.87451
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.57283
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.87335
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.63341
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.59855
  • Upside part of mean
    3.26558
  • Downside part of mean
    -2.36965
  • Upside SD
    0.39596
  • Downside SD
    0.34022
  • N nonnegative terms
    448.00000
  • N negative terms
    317.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    765.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.09195
  • Mean of criterion
    0.89593
  • SD of predictor
    0.12634
  • SD of criterion
    0.51944
  • Covariance
    0.03115
  • r
    0.47466
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.95161
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.71600
  • Mean Square Error
    0.20930
  • DF error
    763.00000
  • t(b)
    14.89630
  • p(b)
    -0.00000
  • t(a)
    2.67331
  • p(a)
    0.00384
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.69442
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.20880
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.19035
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.24259
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.45907
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.71647
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.76015
  • SD
    0.51890
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.46493
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.46349
  • df
    764.00000
  • t
    2.50320
  • p
    0.00626
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.31511
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.61383
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.31413
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.61284
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.15039
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.02541
  • Upside part of mean
    3.19044
  • Downside part of mean
    -2.43028
  • Upside SD
    0.38230
  • Downside SD
    0.35350
  • N nonnegative terms
    448.00000
  • N negative terms
    317.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    765.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.08394
  • Mean of criterion
    0.76015
  • SD of predictor
    0.12658
  • SD of criterion
    0.51890
  • Covariance
    0.03130
  • r
    0.47648
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.95330
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.59619
  • Mean Square Error
    0.20840
  • DF error
    763.00000
  • t(b)
    14.97010
  • p(b)
    -0.00000
  • t(a)
    2.22971
  • p(a)
    0.01303
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.69716
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.20944
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.07129
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.12108
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.38916
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.59619
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.04861
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.06120
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01815
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.03863
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    765.00000
  • Minimum
    0.85255
  • Quartile 1
    0.99061
  • Median
    1.00332
  • Quartile 3
    1.01609
  • Maximum
    1.14116
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.96643
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99832
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00905
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.04050
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.02548
  • Number outliers low
    35.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.04575
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.92247
  • Number of outliers high
    43.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.05621
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.08127
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.12378
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.02721
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.04115
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.07829
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.03148
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.04731
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    54.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00123
  • Quartile 1
    0.00867
  • Median
    0.03417
  • Quartile 3
    0.09594
  • Maximum
    0.51779
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00476
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.01692
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.05109
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.20044
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.08727
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    4.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.07407
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.37797
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.41704
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.22926
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.42382
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.72175
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.18723
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.52022
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    3.07696
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    1.19912
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    2.31586
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    5.98241
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    19.59310
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    -0.10537
  • SD
    0.67320
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    -0.15652
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    -0.15562
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    -0.11068
  • p
    0.50485
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -2.92816
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.61559
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -2.92749
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.61625
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    -0.21867
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.06218
  • Upside part of mean
    3.88495
  • Downside part of mean
    -3.99032
  • Upside SD
    0.46646
  • Downside SD
    0.48187
  • N nonnegative terms
    70.00000
  • N negative terms
    61.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    -0.06819
  • Mean of criterion
    -0.10537
  • SD of predictor
    0.19090
  • SD of criterion
    0.67320
  • Covariance
    0.08225
  • r
    0.64003
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    2.25706
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.04853
  • Mean Square Error
    0.26963
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    9.46105
  • p(b)
    0.12239
  • t(a)
    0.06607
  • p(a)
    0.49630
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.78505
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.72906
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -1.40473
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.50179
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.04669
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.04853
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    -0.33131
  • SD
    0.67576
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    -0.49027
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    -0.48744
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    -0.34667
  • p
    0.51520
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -3.26187
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.28302
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -3.25987
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.28500
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    -0.65952
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    7.52727
  • Upside part of mean
    3.78129
  • Downside part of mean
    -4.11259
  • Upside SD
    0.44859
  • Downside SD
    0.50235
  • N nonnegative terms
    70.00000
  • N negative terms
    61.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    -0.08627
  • Mean of criterion
    -0.33131
  • SD of predictor
    0.19088
  • SD of criterion
    0.67576
  • Covariance
    0.08354
  • r
    0.64763
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    2.29271
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.13351
  • Mean Square Error
    0.26718
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    9.65366
  • p(b)
    0.11869
  • t(a)
    -0.18257
  • p(a)
    0.51023
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.82282
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.76260
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -1.58037
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.31335
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.14450
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.13351
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.06755
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.08356
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.03371
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.06501
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    131.00000
  • Minimum
    0.86824
  • Quartile 1
    0.97550
  • Median
    1.00231
  • Quartile 3
    1.01905
  • Maximum
    1.14116
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.94900
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99097
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.01009
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.04907
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.04355
  • Number outliers low
    3.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.02290
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.88446
  • Number of outliers high
    2.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.01527
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.13509
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.24014
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.05442
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.08402
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.33680
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.04896
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.07833
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    5.00000
  • Minimum
    0.03375
  • Quartile 1
    0.06165
  • Median
    0.09851
  • Quartile 3
    0.23039
  • Maximum
    0.51779
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.04770
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.09851
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.23039
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.51779
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.16873
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.20000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.51779
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    -0.28151
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    -0.26170
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    -0.50541
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    -0.50541
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    -3.13175

Strategy Description

Please don't get scaling less than 10% to ensure you get atleast 1 option contact. I tend to buy/sell 10 contracts at a time. so anything less than 10% scaling will result in no trade for you. I pref Interactive Broker as your trading platform. Account must be able to short UVXY/TVIX, and also level 3 option writing(writing naked calls/puts). This strategy will try to limit max draw down to less than 25% and shoot for avg gain of 5% per month. (Goal of 5% per week of original starting balance of 100k) C2 shows a drawn down of 48%, But as you know, when you trade VIX or high IV stocks, it will give you a heart attacks!!!!

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2016-03-07
Suggested Minimum Capital
$35,000
# Trades
1838
# Profitable
1709
% Profitable
93.0%
Net Dividends
Correlation S&P500
0.478
Sharpe Ratio
1.723

Latest Activity

#PERSONNAME#
subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.